Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.134542 1.282156 1.443679 1.633860 1.852059 2.095046 2.386784
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.919016 1.120419 1.359926 1.667135 2.052711 2.523208 3.144753
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.780204 0.999009 1.273698 1.646525 2.143429 2.788587 3.698896
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.695381 0.926804 1.230547 1.662596 2.268140 3.096726 4.333682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.617422 0.850975 1.169188 1.640171 2.329285 3.315885 4.862897
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.558100 0.792374 1.122341 1.628385 2.398032 3.546137 5.429242
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.492359 0.716977 1.042468 1.557180 2.366769 3.618594 5.754852
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.462174 0.690163 1.030024 1.584211 2.485907 3.931833 6.501326
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.437102 0.668216 1.021979 1.615729 2.613251 4.269250 7.328675
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.410919 0.641839 1.004011 1.628307 2.708829 4.561661 8.112267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.386643 0.616165 0.984437 1.635381 2.794182 4.843384 8.910269
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.368727 0.599175 0.977220 1.662037 2.915319 5.200057 9.895113
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.341076 0.564244 0.937889 1.630259 2.930320 5.368600 10.545844
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.327921 0.552990 0.938170 1.669616 3.081861 5.813875 11.827037
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.306469 0.525453 0.907406 1.648347 3.114188 6.028109 12.648650
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.292623 0.510244 0.897236 1.664502 3.220894 6.402996 13.875484
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.274583 0.486030 0.868593 1.642043 3.246704 6.611900 14.755134
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.259536 0.466194 0.846478 1.630243 3.292880 6.868661 15.784584
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.238278 0.433236 0.797054 1.558948 3.205439 6.821982 16.069667
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.230592 0.425533 0.795620 1.586013 3.333621 7.273942 17.670890
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.223900 0.419236 0.796379 1.617571 3.474842 7.772613 19.474247
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.215559 0.409097 0.788662 1.630164 3.574095 8.183544 21.111586
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.207202 0.398340 0.778866 1.637248 3.661107 8.574953 22.760866